Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Julien | 38 | 5-15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -6.1 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 37 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Taryn Todd | 34 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | -10.8 |
| Joseph Pinion | 31 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -5.9 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Derrian Ford | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.3 |
| Avery Felts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer | 39 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | +6.8 |
| Mikal Dawson | 38 | 5-19 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | +8.5 |
| Dezayne Mingo | 38 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +8.9 |
| Nate Martin | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | +2.1 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 23 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Cade Gibbs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +6.9 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Kai Spears | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
* = starter