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Georgia State Panthers 76
@
App State Mountaineers 80
2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Georgia State Panthers App State Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 ✓ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.8% 65.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 32.8% 67.2% - ✓

Actual: App State Mountaineers +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cesare Edwards 39 10-23 3-6 1-2 6 3 0 2 0 24 12 -1.5
Toneari Lane 37 4-12 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 11 3 -0.8
Malachi Brown 32 6-9 2-5 1-1 5 3 3 0 2 15 15 -0.1
Nick McMullen 31 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 0 10 13 +1.6
Jelani Hamilton 27 2-8 1-2 1-2 6 3 3 1 2 6 9 -0.8
Zarique Nutter 24 4-7 0-0 2-6 4 2 1 0 3 10 7 +0.7
Malik Ferguson 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -6.3

App State Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Tate 39 9-14 4-7 3-4 0 6 3 0 3 25 17 +2.7
CJ Huntley 36 7-11 0-1 2-4 14 2 0 2 0 16 23 +2.4
Alonzo Dodd 35 1-4 0-1 5-6 3 5 0 0 2 7 9 +0.0
Jalil Beaubrun 32 5-12 0-0 2-5 8 1 0 1 0 12 10 -2.7
Dior Conners 30 6-9 4-7 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 18 11 -3.8
Jackson Threadgill 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +6.3
Luke Wilson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 +1.7
Jamil Muttilib 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +0.8
Michael Marcus Jr. 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 +3.9

* = starter