Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -9 (61-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentrell Garnett | 31 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -7.6 |
| Kyndall Davis | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Christian Wright | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kyran Ratliff | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -8.4 |
| Brandon Hardy | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8.6 |
| Michael Thomas | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Zeke Cook | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Chancellor White | 15 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| London Fields | 8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Jeremiah Evans | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 32 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +8.4 |
| Dylan Dawson | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +7.5 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 31 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +9.5 |
| Christian Turner | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tylan Pope | 22 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +9.9 |
| Austin Green | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Coleton Benson | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +9.5 |
| Drue Drinnon | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1.0 |
* = starter