Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -7 (79-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay | 33 | 7-12 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | -3.4 |
| Xavier Brown | 32 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +13.6 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +6.4 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +12.0 |
| AJ Smith | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10.4 |
| Noah Williams | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Mark Freeman | 19 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Justin Taylor | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +1.8 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 40 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 40 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -1.6 |
| Nick McMullen | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -16.5 |
| Malachi Brown | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Cesare Edwards | 29 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | -3.7 |
| Malik Ferguson | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Jason Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter