Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +10 (65-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 34 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -4.0 |
| Judah Brown | 31 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -10.8 |
| Jayden Cooper | 27 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -0.9 |
| JJ Wheat | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Myles Corey | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | -10.4 |
| Randy Brady | 21 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +4.4 |
| John Broom | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Cantia Rahming | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -2.4 |
| Elijah Ormiston | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -11.6 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +0.2 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayton Conerway | 34 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +7.7 |
| Myles Rigsby | 30 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +3.9 |
| Thomas Dowd | 28 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Jackson Fields | 24 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +16.3 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 21 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1 | +8.5 |
| Coo. Campbell | 20 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Victor Valdes | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Theo Seng | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.0 |
| Randarius Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
* = starter