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2025-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Southern Miss Golden Eagles Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 7.0% 93.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.8% 88.2% - โœ“
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.8% 96.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“

Actual: Troy Trojans +9 (70-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Denijay Harris 33 9-15 2-2 1-4 7 0 1 2 1 21 15 -16.2
DeAntoni Gordon 28 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 4 5 -15.3
Cobie Montgomery 25 2-8 1-6 1-1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Andre Curbelo 22 2-7 0-1 0-0 3 5 2 0 3 4 4 -12.1
Christian Watson 22 1-3 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
Neftali Alvarez 20 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 7 3 -11.2
Alfred Worrell Jr. 17 0-7 0-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -7 -8.5
John Wade III 13 2-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 4 7 2 +2.4
Christian Reid 10 1-1 0-0 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Jeffery Armstrong 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Jett Montgomery 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Brewer Carruth 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +7.1
Jose Benitez 2 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 3 4 +7.1
Trey Alfonso 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.0

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Rigsby 29 2-9 0-1 3-4 5 1 1 1 3 7 3 +13.0
Tayton Conerway 28 5-10 2-4 5-8 4 4 3 0 0 17 18 +15.0
Thomas Dowd 24 4-8 4-7 3-3 9 1 1 1 2 15 17 +11.6
Coo. Campbell 22 1-3 0-2 3-3 2 3 1 0 4 5 4 +16.1
Jackson Fields 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 7 1 +12.1
Marcus Rigsby Jr. 17 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 5 5 -2.1
Theo Seng 15 3-5 1-2 3-4 6 2 1 0 1 10 13 +2.8
Victor Valdes 13 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.1
Randarius Jones 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 2 1 -0.1
Kerrington Kiel 9 0-1 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 1 1 0 4 -3.1
Jerrell Bellamy 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 -2.1
Jackson Porch 1 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0
Braydon Whitaker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.0
Kameryn Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter