Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.8% | 25.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -14 (60-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Smith | 35 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 23 | +12.5 |
| Mark Freeman | 35 | 6-11 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 30 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +7.0 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 29 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | +12.8 |
| Xavier Brown | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Justin Taylor | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +7.4 |
| Noah Williams | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0.9 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephaun Walker | 37 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Robert Davis Jr. | 37 | 6-21 | 3-14 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 5 | -10.8 |
| Sean Durugordon | 36 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -3.3 |
| Jaden Johnson | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | -8.8 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +0.7 |
| R.J. Blakney | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Caden Diggs | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Vytautas Zygas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Dani Pounds | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.4 |
| Ben Nacey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.6 |
* = starter