Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns -15 (74-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro | 39 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | -5.4 |
| Tylan Pope | 36 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 13-14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 23 | -5.0 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Dylan Dawson | 28 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | -2.3 |
| Coleton Benson | 22 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -2.2 |
| Christian Turner | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Austin Green | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -5.4 |
| Nate Deer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaylen Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentrell Garnett | 37 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Brandon Hardy | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +5.4 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 22 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +5.4 |
| Christian Wright | 21 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kyndall Davis | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Zeke Cook | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +3.3 |
| Kyran Ratliff | 15 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +2.1 |
| London Fields | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Chancellor White | 10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Jeremiah Evans | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
* = starter