Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +26 (85-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 39 | 5-16 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -21.6 |
| Cesare Edwards | 34 | 5-16 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | -13.0 |
| Nick McMullen | 32 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | -16.4 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | -30.1 |
| Malachi Brown | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Malik Ferguson | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -24.1 |
| Jason Jackson | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.4 |
| Zarique Nutter | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -17.1 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.7 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 30 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +21.6 |
| Taryn Todd | 26 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +20.4 |
| Joseph Pinion | 24 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +24.0 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +20.2 |
| Avery Felts | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +31.2 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +7.6 |
| Kobe Julien | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 14 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +13.1 |
| Derrian Ford | 13 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -5.2 |
| Kameron Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Josh Hill | 7 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Cody Head | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -9.3 |
| Justin Johnson | 5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Zane Butler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Jacob St. Clair | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter