Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes -8 (50-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Tate | 37 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | +12.8 |
| CJ Huntley | 37 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +10.3 |
| Dior Conners | 34 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +5.0 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 28 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +9.7 |
| Jackson Threadgill | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Jalil Beaubrun | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -1.0 |
| Luke Wilson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Ricks III | 36 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 14 | -9.1 |
| Mark Freeman | 35 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Xavier Brown | 34 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 28 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | -3.4 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1.2 |
| AJ Smith | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | -9.2 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4.7 |
| Noah Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
* = starter