Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayton Conerway | 31 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | +10.9 |
| Thomas Dowd | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +12.3 |
| Jackson Fields | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +11.1 |
| Myles Rigsby | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 20 | 3-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Coo. Campbell | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +7.2 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 18 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Victor Valdes | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -10.1 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7.3 |
| Theo Seng | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -17.7 |
| Randarius Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.0 |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 34 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +0.1 |
| JJ Wheat | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | +12.0 |
| Randy Brady | 28 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +0.0 |
| John Broom | 26 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 13 | -8.1 |
| Myles Corey | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -11.9 |
| Judah Brown | 20 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +10.6 |
| Jayden Cooper | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | +12.3 |
| Elijah Ormiston | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.2 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.4 |
| Cantia Rahming | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.8 |
* = starter