Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Dawson | 36 | 5-17 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Nate Martin | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | +8.1 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | +9.0 |
| Jalen Speer | 30 | 6-12 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +7.7 |
| Dezayne Mingo | 21 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -8 | -5.3 |
| Ryan Nutter | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Cade Gibbs | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -12.1 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.5 |
| Kaiden White | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Brown | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 29 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +5.9 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Mark Freeman | 27 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -5.0 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -9.6 |
| AJ Smith | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -3.9 |
| Noah Williams | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Justin Taylor | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +9.1 |
* = starter