Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -19 (43-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley | 38 | 10-18 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 23 | +18.6 |
| Myles Tate | 35 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +18.3 |
| Dior Conners | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 26 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +16.4 |
| Jackson Threadgill | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +15.0 |
| Jalil Beaubrun | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +2.0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6.5 |
| Luke Wilson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3.4 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Johnson | 39 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | -14.0 |
| Robert Davis Jr. | 39 | 4-16 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | -12.7 |
| Sean Durugordon | 30 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | -17.0 |
| Stephaun Walker | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -0.9 |
| R.J. Blakney | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -16.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Ben Nacey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Dani Pounds | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -10.1 |
| CJ Parker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Vytautas Zygas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Scottie Hubbard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter