Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.8% | 97.2% | +19.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentrell Garnett | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -10.2 |
| Christian Wright | 30 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 23 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | -9.4 |
| London Fields | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -10.1 |
| Brandon Hardy | 21 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -10.1 |
| Kyran Ratliff | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Kyndall Davis | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
| Zeke Cook | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Chancellor White | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jeremiah Evans | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Christian Landry | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 32 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | +10.1 |
| Kobe Julien | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +10.3 |
| Taryn Todd | 29 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +10.8 |
| Joseph Pinion | 27 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +8.5 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Derrian Ford | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.8 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Avery Felts | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Josh Hill | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Cody Head | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.0 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Justin Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jacob St. Clair | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zane Butler | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kameron Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter