Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +13.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denijay Harris | 37 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -9.8 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -7.2 |
| Andre Curbelo | 27 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 7 | -10.7 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 23 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | -12.0 |
| Christian Watson | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Cobie Montgomery | 23 | 2-10 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Neftali Alvarez | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Christian Reid | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jett Montgomery | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brewer Carruth | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Broom | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Randy Brady | 28 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +2.0 |
| JJ Wheat | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | +10.9 |
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 25 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -0.7 |
| Dylan Fasoyiro | 24 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Judah Brown | 21 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | +11.1 |
| Myles Corey | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | +3.5 |
| Elijah Ormiston | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Jayden Cooper | 9 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Cantia Rahming | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter