Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +20 (86-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay | 27 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -25.5 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -21.3 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 26 | 8-13 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 16 | -21.5 |
| Xavier Brown | 26 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -16.8 |
| Mark Freeman | 25 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -20.0 |
| Noah Williams | 21 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -10.1 |
| AJ Smith | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | -7.8 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Justin Taylor | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -9.6 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.3 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley | 37 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +30.7 |
| Myles Tate | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 23 | +26.6 |
| Jackson Threadgill | 28 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +24.2 |
| Jalil Beaubrun | 28 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | +19.7 |
| Dior Conners | 27 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +36.8 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 21 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | +13.8 |
| Jamil Muttilib | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Luke Wilson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Ben Ezeagu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Anthony Alston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter