Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RaSheed Jones | 35 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -3.2 |
| Josh Meo | 34 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -3.3 |
| Jordan Battle | 32 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | -6.4 |
| Noah Amenhauser | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Denzel Hines | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6.7 |
| Naz Brown | 23 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -13.3 |
| Colin Granger | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Mabor Majak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.1 |
| Henry Abraham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 40 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 35 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Cesare Edwards | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Malachi Brown | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -3.3 |
| Nick McMullen | 27 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Zarique Nutter | 27 | 8-12 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | -1.5 |
| Malik Ferguson | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +8.5 |
* = starter