Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +4 (92-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrel Morgan | 43 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +0.4 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 41 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 37 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Mark Drone | 33 | 12-20 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 20 | +2.1 |
| Tylan Pope | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 14 | -7.5 |
| Austin Green | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Coleton Benson | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | -5.3 |
| Dylan Dawson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -3.2 |
| Nate Deer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson | 39 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Denijay Harris | 38 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | -0.1 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 34 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 15 | -0.2 |
| Neftali Alvarez | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Andre Curbelo | 28 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Cobie Montgomery | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 20 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +2.1 |
| Christian Reid | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Brewer Carruth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeffery Armstrong | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter