Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +2 (80-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Freeman | 33 | 12-25 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 12 | -6.4 |
| AJ Smith | 32 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -3.8 |
| Xavier Brown | 28 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +2.1 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -6.5 |
| Noah Williams | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Will Lovings-Watts | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Justin Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.2 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dezayne Mingo | 40 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +6.7 |
| Jalen Speer | 36 | 9-13 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | +6.7 |
| Nate Martin | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +3.5 |
| Mikal Dawson | 33 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 6 | +8.2 |
| Cade Gibbs | 20 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Ryan Nutter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +4.6 |
* = starter