Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -1 (73-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylan Pope | 36 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 20 | +2.6 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Dylan Dawson | 28 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Tyrel Morgan | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Mark Drone | 20 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 20 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Drue Drinnon | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Austin Green | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Coleton Benson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Nate Deer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Tayton Conerway | 32 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -2.6 |
| Thomas Dowd | 29 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | -2.2 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -10.2 |
| Jackson Fields | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -1.2 |
| Victor Valdes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.3 |
| Theo Seng | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +8.7 |
| Coo. Campbell | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.3 |
| Randarius Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.0 |
* = starter