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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 24.4% 75.6% +6.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% -

Actual: Georgia State Panthers +24 (94-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. El Moutaouakkil 28 4-9 0-0 9-9 9 2 1 0 3 17 17 -21.9
K. Garnett 28 5-13 3-10 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 13 2 -11.4
C. Wright 25 3-7 1-4 4-4 3 3 0 1 2 11 9 -
K. Davis 24 4-11 1-4 1-2 3 0 2 1 1 10 4 -12.4
M. Thomas 20 1-7 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 0 -23.8
K. Ratliff 18 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -0.4
L. Fields 18 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 5 -5.0
B. Hardy 16 3-6 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 7 3 -9.5
Z. Cook 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -13.6
C. White 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -5.4
J. Evans 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.9

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lane 40 8-18 3-9 2-2 5 4 0 0 1 21 11 +21.9
J. Hamilton 35 4-9 3-6 4-4 4 4 1 0 3 15 12 +23.2
C. Edwards 34 6-13 0-1 8-10 7 2 1 2 4 20 15 +22.0
M. Brown 33 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 9 11 +14.8
N. McMullen 30 9-13 0-0 4-5 14 1 0 0 1 22 23 +21.7
C. Peters 16 1-1 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 2 3 8 +4.8
M. Ferguson 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 +2.3
J. Jackson 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter