Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobie Montgomery | 34 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Christian Watson | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Andre Curbelo | 31 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | +0.2 |
| DeAntoni Gordon | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -5.0 |
| Denijay Harris | 27 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | -14.1 |
| Brewer Carruth | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +3.4 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. | 12 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Christian Reid | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Neftali Alvarez | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| Jose Benitez | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeffery Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Jett Montgomery | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Freeman | 38 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 8-12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | +4.3 |
| Eddie Ricks III | 32 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | -1.5 |
| Xavier Brown | 31 | 3-14 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | +4.3 |
| AJ Smith | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | +9.0 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Noah Williams | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +4.7 |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Will Lovings-Watts | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Luke Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Justin Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.2 |
* = starter