Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.6% | 24.4% | -6.2 | ✓ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -26 (51-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dunning Jr. | 37 | 9-17 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | +26.3 |
| M. Corey | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +30.4 |
| JJ Wheat | 27 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | +26.9 |
| C. Rahming | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +31.5 |
| J. Broom | 26 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +7.0 |
| J. Brown | 17 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +3.3 |
| J. Cooper | 13 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +1.1 |
| D. Fasoyiro | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +4.9 |
| E. Ormiston | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| R. Brady | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| C. Kizer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Nutter | 35 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | -26.3 |
| C. Edwards | 33 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -34.2 |
| M. Brown | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -17.0 |
| J. Hamilton | 31 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | -21.8 |
| T. Lane | 29 | 5-15 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | -21.3 |
| C. Peters | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -8.4 |
| N. McMullen | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1.9 |
* = starter