Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrel Morgan | 37 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 5-11 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -5.4 |
| Dylan Dawson | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Joshua O'Garro | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -10.2 |
| Coleton Benson | 26 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Kaden Gumbs | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | -5.3 |
| Tylan Pope | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Drue Drinnon | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Nate Deer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Austin Green | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.1 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dezayne Mingo | 35 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 18 | +7.4 |
| Obinna Anochili-Killen | 34 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 19 | +8.7 |
| Jalen Speer | 29 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +2.4 |
| Nate Martin | 23 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +14.0 |
| Mikal Dawson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +9.7 |
| Jakob Gibbs | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2.4 |
| Cade Gibbs | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +7.6 |
| Ryan Nutter | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Wyatt Fricks | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
* = starter