Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.2% | 8.8% | -12.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -19 (59-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taryn Todd | 31 | 5-17 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +15.7 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 30 | 9-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +18.8 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +6.3 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 21 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -10.5 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 21 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +20.1 |
| Joseph Pinion | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Derrian Ford | 17 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Avery Felts | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Josh Hill | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +15.8 |
| Justin Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kameron Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Zane Butler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cody Head | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Davis Jr. | 37 | 1-12 | 1-10 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -4 | -7.3 |
| Jaden Johnson | 36 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Stephaun Walker | 31 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.3 |
| Sean Durugordon | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | -10.2 |
| R.J. Blakney | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -20.1 |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Caden Diggs | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -6.4 |
| Dani Pounds | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +0.5 |
| Donovan Raymond | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Ben Nacey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vytautas Zygas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Rieco Hellams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter