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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model James Madison Dukes South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 37.6% 62.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% - โœ“
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 โœ“ (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +28 (77-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

James Madison Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryce Lindsay 34 4-12 4-12 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 12 5 -31.0
Mark Freeman 34 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 6 3 -30.7
Xavier Brown 25 2-9 1-6 0-2 5 1 1 0 1 5 2 -10.6
Eddie Ricks III 24 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 0 4 7 5 -15.7
Elijah Hutchins-Everett 22 2-4 0-0 6-6 5 0 1 0 2 10 10 -16.9
Justin Taylor 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 0 2 -9.7
Luke Anderson 19 1-8 1-6 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 3 0 -11.5
AJ Smith 15 2-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 4 -2 -22.9
Ebenezer Dowuona 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -2.0
Redd Thompson Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Broom 29 3-5 1-3 0-0 7 0 4 0 1 7 12 +32.3
Myles Corey 28 7-11 2-6 3-4 1 7 3 0 1 19 18 +27.9
Barry Dunning Jr. 27 7-12 0-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 0 16 9 +28.7
Judah Brown 23 3-5 3-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 9 7 +14.7
Jayden Cooper 23 2-6 0-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 1 +6.2
JJ Wheat 17 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 4 2 0 1 2 8 +10.7
Randy Brady 16 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 6 +13.7
Elijah Ormiston 12 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 2 1 1 6 7 +3.8
Cantia Rahming 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -3.2
Dylan Fasoyiro 12 1-2 0-1 1-1 0 2 0 0 0 3 3 +20.9
Caleb Kizer 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter