Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +20 (77-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 37 | 4-17 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | -19.7 |
| Jelani Hamilton | 34 | 6-13 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | -18.6 |
| Cesare Edwards | 30 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -15.7 |
| Zarique Nutter | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -23.8 |
| Darnell Evans | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Nick McMullen | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -14.9 |
| Clash Peters | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Jason Jackson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Malachi Brown | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.0 |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Rigsby | 29 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 7-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | +19.7 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +22.7 |
| Tayton Conerway | 23 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +16.6 |
| Thomas Dowd | 21 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +18.4 |
| Jackson Fields | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +12.7 |
| Theo Seng | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Victor Valdes | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.9 |
| Coo. Campbell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.4 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 11 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Randarius Jones | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Braydon Whitaker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Kameryn Mitchell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jackson Porch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter