Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +30 (97-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Battle | 31 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | -28.1 |
| RaSheed Jones | 29 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -25.2 |
| Denzel Hines | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -8.0 |
| Josh Meo | 25 | 0-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | -25.1 |
| Colin Granger | 23 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | -10.2 |
| Naz Brown | 22 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -18.6 |
| Mabor Majak | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Andre Mulibea | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -16.1 |
| Henry Abraham | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Noah Amenhauser | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrian Ford | 31 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +28.1 |
| Joseph Pinion | 30 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | +22.2 |
| Taryn Todd | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | +29.4 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 25 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +19.1 |
| Izaiyah Nelson | 22 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +10.8 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | +6.5 |
| Josh Hill | 16 | 9-15 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 11 | +9.0 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +12.5 |
| Justin Johnson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Avery Felts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| Cody Head | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Jacob St. Clair | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Zane Butler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter