Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Tate | 37 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -8.6 |
| J. Threadgill | 33 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -9.1 |
| A. Dodd | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2.3 |
| D. Conners | 28 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -11.6 |
| CJ Huntley | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -6.8 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +4.5 |
| J. Beaubrun | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -2.4 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.3 |
| J. Muttilib | 4 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
| L. Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Garnett | 39 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +9.2 |
| K. Ratliff | 31 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +9.5 |
| K. Davis | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +14.1 |
| M. El Moutaouakkil | 25 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +5.3 |
| M. Thomas | 22 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +5.8 |
| C. Wright | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -6 | - |
| B. Hardy | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | -8.3 |
| L. Fields | 8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +10.0 |
| Z. Cook | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
| J. Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter