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2025-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Johnson 36 4-11 1-3 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 9 7 +5.4
TJ Nadeau 31 6-14 1-5 2-3 8 1 0 0 0 15 10 +2.1
Orlando Lovejoy 26 5-12 0-1 1-2 1 3 2 0 3 11 2 +10.4
Mak Manciel 23 3-9 3-6 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 10 -1 -3.7
Ryan Kalambay 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 1 6 11 -0.6
Emmanuel Kuac 18 3-6 1-2 0-2 8 0 0 1 0 7 10 -1.0
Stephen Okoro 16 2-3 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 +0.0
Miles Mitchell 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 +1.9
Chase Kuiper 14 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -2.9
Peter Fuchs Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Tweedy 40 3-11 0-2 7-7 5 4 2 0 1 13 12 -2.4
C.J. O'Hara 33 2-7 0-2 7-8 7 2 1 1 0 11 15 -4.0
Marcus Hall 31 3-12 2-8 6-8 2 1 1 1 1 14 6 -8.3
Mac Wrecke 26 4-6 1-3 3-5 3 1 1 0 1 12 10 -0.3
Ryan Wade 24 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 6 -1.3
Jeremiah Johnson 23 6-8 1-2 7-10 4 2 1 0 1 20 18 +0.7
Yonatan Levy 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 0 2 +8.8
Roee Oselka 3 0-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.0

* = starter