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2025-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Youngstown State Penguins Spread Result
Elo 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.2 โœ“ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“

Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +4 (81-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Hall 37 4-15 3-10 5-6 5 2 0 0 3 16 5 -3.5
Ben Tweedy 35 6-13 1-3 0-0 5 7 1 0 3 13 10 -3.5
C.J. O'Hara 26 1-3 0-2 4-6 8 0 1 0 1 6 11 +6.6
Preston Ruedinger 25 3-7 0-3 0-1 4 3 2 0 1 6 7 -3.2
Ryan Wade 24 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 7 +5.9
Yonatan Levy 21 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 4 3 1 2 5 8 +3.0
Mac Wrecke 20 5-8 3-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 15 9 +0.9
Jeremiah Johnson 11 4-5 0-1 2-4 4 0 2 0 2 10 9 -6.7
Roee Oselka 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nico Galette 36 7-13 2-3 5-5 9 2 1 1 0 21 21 +7.2
Juwan Maxey 31 1-7 0-4 6-7 2 2 1 1 4 8 3 +8.9
Gabe Dynes 27 7-9 0-0 5-9 12 0 0 3 1 19 24 -0.5
Jason Nelson 26 4-11 1-5 4-6 3 4 0 0 3 13 6 -9.0
Siem Uijtendaal 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 5 1 +0.9
Ty Harper 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 7 2 +10.5
Cris Carroll 19 1-2 0-1 0-2 5 2 0 0 3 2 4 -10.6
David Wilkerson 12 2-4 1-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -2.9

* = starter