Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland State Vikings | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.8% | 22.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.7% | 17.3% | -8.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -8 (65-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tevin Smith | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +7.7 |
| Ebrima Dibba | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +6.6 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 29 | 6-16 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 14 | +6.2 |
| Chase Robinson | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Arnett | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +8.6 |
| Reece Robinson | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| KJ Debrick | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Isaac Abidde | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Cole Franklin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Chaz Watson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
| Danny Young | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.3 |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | -5.6 |
| Nate Johnson | 36 | 5-12 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | -0.8 |
| TJ Nadeau | 31 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +3.1 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Emmanuel Kuac | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -13.0 |
| Legend Geeter | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Mak Manciel | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Chase Kuiper | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Miles Mitchell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.8 |
| Stephen Okoro | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6.8 |
* = starter