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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans Wright State Raiders Spread Result
Elo 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.1% 76.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.0% 90.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“

Actual: Wright State Raiders +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nate Johnson 36 4-14 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 8 2 -16.2
Orlando Lovejoy 36 6-12 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 15 8 -24.3
Ryan Kalambay 28 1-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 0 3 4 -16.2
TJ Nadeau 27 3-7 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 8 8 -13.3
Grant Gondrezick II 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 5 3 -3.1
Legend Geeter 19 2-10 0-2 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 7 2 -12.2
Miles Mitchell 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 2 8 -5.3
Emmanuel Kuac 14 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -4 +0.8
Chase Kuiper 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.9

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Noel 33 4-12 1-3 6-8 12 5 1 1 1 15 21 +7.3
Alex Huibregtse 31 3-11 2-9 3-5 4 2 0 0 0 11 6 +12.2
Keaton Norris 29 4-10 4-7 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 12 9 +22.1
Solomon Callaghan 20 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 -1 +6.7
Logan Woods 19 3-5 1-3 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 8 7 +19.1
Jack Doumbia 18 1-4 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 1 3 6 +6.0
Michael Imariagbe 18 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 1 6 9 +15.3
Andrew Welage 11 1-4 1-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 4 5 -2.9
Andrea Holden 11 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -4.0
Drey Carter 10 3-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 +4.1

* = starter