Model Predictions
| Model | Robert Morris Colonials | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Robert Morris Colonials
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kam Woods | 36 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Amarion Dickerson | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | +8.1 |
| DJ Smith | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Alvaro Folgueiras | 30 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Ryan Prather Jr. | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +3.9 |
| Josh Omojafo | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Ismael Plet | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Dilen Miller | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| Chris Ford | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Harper | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Gabe Dynes | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 15 | +7.9 |
| Jason Nelson | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -7.4 |
| Cris Carroll | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -10.7 |
| Nico Galette | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Juwan Maxey | 21 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 16 | -2.5 |
| E.J. Farmer | 20 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -1.2 |
| David Wilkerson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +4.5 |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Christian Kirkland | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter