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2025-01-22

Model Predictions

Model IU Indianapolis Jaguars Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.9% 52.1% - โœ—
Margin 45.9% 54.1% +0.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix -9 (77-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Craig 32 8-11 4-5 4-6 9 3 1 0 0 24 26 +25.0
J. Walker 31 6-12 3-5 3-4 4 8 0 0 4 18 14 +1.8
P. Zilinskas 31 8-15 5-8 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 21 11 +16.2
A. Millender 29 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 3 4 +2.9
D. Goode 28 4-6 2-2 2-2 9 1 0 0 0 12 16 +11.8
K. Garner 23 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 +1.0
T. Brown 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 -2.0
R. Rutland III 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -4.1
A. Holubar 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 1 0 3 4 -8.3

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Hall 39 2-7 0-3 8-8 3 2 0 0 3 12 7 -5.7
Preston Ruedinger 38 4-10 3-6 0-0 8 4 1 0 0 11 14 -12.7
Yonatan Levy 27 3-9 0-3 0-0 6 3 2 1 2 6 7 -13.0
Mac Wrecke 27 4-5 1-2 3-3 2 1 0 2 1 12 11 -9.3
Ryan Wade 25 4-6 3-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 11 13 -2.9
Jeremiah Johnson 23 5-12 2-6 6-8 2 2 1 0 1 18 10 +7.2
Foster Wonders 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3.0
Ben Tweedy 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -13.5
C.J. O'Hara 2 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 +9.2

* = starter