Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Green Bay Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.0% | 23.0% | -6.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Green Bay Phoenix -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Harper | 36 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Jason Nelson | 35 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Nico Galette | 34 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | -8.4 |
| Cris Carroll | 28 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 19 | +0.4 |
| Juwan Maxey | 23 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -12.3 |
| Gabe Dynes | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +8.5 |
| David Wilkerson | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +10.6 |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Christian Kirkland | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Ruedinger | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Marcus Hall | 39 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +2.2 |
| Yonatan Levy | 27 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +6.4 |
| Mac Wrecke | 27 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Ryan Wade | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -0.8 |
| Ben Tweedy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Foster Wonders | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
* = starter