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2025-01-15

Model Predictions

Model IU Indianapolis Jaguars Oakland Golden Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“

Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Walker 35 6-14 2-7 2-2 2 4 3 0 4 16 7 -4.0
S. Craig 34 4-10 1-4 4-4 8 2 0 0 5 13 8 -7.0
P. Zilinskas 33 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 8 2 -13.5
A. Millender 30 0-1 0-1 6-6 1 3 0 0 2 6 7 -17.3
D. Goode 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 5 -5.2
K. Garner 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 -1.3
T. Brown 15 3-5 0-1 0-2 2 0 1 0 1 6 3 -15.1
C. Hannah 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -0.1
R. Rutland III 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.1

Oakland Golden Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tuburu Naivalurua 34 7-8 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 3 14 7 +8.9
A. Mukeba 34 7-8 0-0 6-8 9 3 2 3 1 20 28 +19.9
Isaiah Jones 29 3-7 1-1 0-0 5 6 4 0 2 7 13 +11.8
DQ Cole 24 4-10 4-10 2-2 1 3 0 3 2 14 9 +25.8
Jack Hoth 24 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 -2 +7.5
Nassim Mashhour 17 2-5 2-5 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 8 9 +16.5
Jaylen Jones 15 1-1 0-0 4-4 3 5 0 0 2 6 11 -13.6
Jayson Woodrich 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -5.6
Cooper Craggs 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.3
Deng Majak 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8

* = starter