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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Mercy Titans IU Indianapolis Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 โœ“ (28.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“

Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars +34 (95-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Gondrezick II 38 7-14 2-3 5-6 1 5 1 1 3 21 12 -32.8
Miles Mitchell 29 2-3 0-1 1-3 9 0 1 0 1 5 11 -29.2
Nate Johnson 26 3-8 2-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 9 2 -29.8
TJ Nadeau 22 4-8 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 2 -23.4
Chase Kuiper 21 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 1 4 7 -0.9
Emmanuel Kuac 20 2-10 1-5 1-1 3 2 0 1 2 6 0 -20.5
Ryan Kalambay 20 0-1 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 2 7 -20.7
Legend Geeter 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -7.2
Peter Fuchs Jr. 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Millender 31 4-5 4-5 3-3 1 6 1 1 0 15 19 +27.6
D. Goode 28 7-11 0-3 1-2 13 3 0 1 0 15 21 +40.1
S. Craig 28 6-15 3-7 4-6 5 7 1 0 2 19 15 +33.2
J. Walker 27 6-11 6-10 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 20 13 +30.7
K. Garner 23 3-7 1-1 3-6 6 1 2 0 1 10 11 +13.2
C. Hannah 17 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -5 +1.0
R. Rutland III 16 3-4 3-4 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 11 9 +19.5
T. Brown 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 0 3 +10.3
A. Holubar 8 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -5.0
N. Dudukovich 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.8

* = starter