Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.5% | 21.5% | -7.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -15 (72-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Farmer | 34 | 6-15 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | +11.0 |
| Nico Galette | 31 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +12.7 |
| Juwan Maxey | 29 | 6-10 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +12.7 |
| Ty Harper | 28 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | +19.3 |
| Cris Carroll | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +9.8 |
| Jason Nelson | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Gabe Dynes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +14.3 |
| Christian Kirkland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| David Wilkerson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.8 |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 40 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 11 | -17.7 |
| Legend Geeter | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -12.3 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -7.9 |
| Nate Johnson | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | -13.1 |
| TJ Nadeau | 22 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -22.6 |
| Mak Manciel | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Chase Kuiper | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.3 |
| Emmanuel Kuac | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Miles Mitchell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
| Duane Rogers III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter