Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders +18 (91-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Craig | 36 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 19 | -12.8 |
| P. Zilinskas | 35 | 6-15 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 8 | -18.6 |
| A. Millender | 34 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -13.1 |
| J. Walker | 33 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -15.9 |
| D. Goode | 27 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -19.6 |
| K. Garner | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -5.6 |
| R. Rutland III | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.3 |
| T. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| C. Hannah | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| A. Holubar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Noel | 35 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 28 | +20.2 |
| Keaton Norris | 33 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | +21.8 |
| Solomon Callaghan | 30 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +9.1 |
| Jack Doumbia | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | +10.6 |
| Alex Huibregtse | 28 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +8.9 |
| Michael Imariagbe | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +13.3 |
| Logan Woods | 12 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Andrew Welage | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +5.0 |
| Andrea Holden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
* = starter