๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-02-05

Model Predictions

Model Wright State Raiders Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 โœ“ (16.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.1% 64.9% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +23 (87-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Noel 38 11-17 0-5 3-8 10 0 0 0 2 25 16 -13.2
Alex Huibregtse 32 0-7 0-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 0 -9 -15.7
Jack Doumbia 30 6-11 0-0 3-8 8 1 0 2 3 15 12 -16.9
Andrew Welage 28 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -6.9
Keaton Norris 27 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 8 4 -4.4
Solomon Callaghan 27 1-4 0-2 5-6 0 0 0 1 1 7 3 -17.5
Michael Imariagbe 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 3 3 -9.6
Andrea Holden 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.5
Drey Carter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Mulder 29 3-3 0-0 4-6 8 0 3 1 0 10 19 +18.8
Corey Hadnot II 28 3-9 0-5 5-6 8 2 4 0 1 11 15 +7.0
Maximus Nelson 28 1-7 1-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 -1 +12.7
Rasheed Bello 27 8-17 2-5 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 22 9 +25.0
Jalen Jackson 26 7-13 0-2 6-9 5 1 1 0 2 20 12 +10.3
Quinton Morton-Robertson 26 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 1 +11.9
Chandler Cuthrell 14 3-3 1-1 4-4 4 0 1 1 0 11 14 +5.1
Trey Lewis 11 2-2 1-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 6 -1.9
Chris Morgan 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 +0.5
Deangelo Elisee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter