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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Youngstown State Penguins Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% -
Points Off/Def 37.3% 62.7% -

Actual: Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons +9 (90-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Maxey 32 2-8 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 6 0 -14.3
E.J. Farmer 31 4-12 1-6 3-3 3 1 1 0 2 12 3 -10.1
C. Carroll 30 7-13 2-7 4-6 12 0 2 0 3 20 18 -12.7
Ty Harper 26 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 6 3 -2.0
N. Galette 25 6-10 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 14 13 -11.2
G. Dynes 21 4-4 0-0 0-3 6 0 0 2 1 8 11 +3.3
J. Nelson 13 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -12.8
D. Wilkerson 10 4-8 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 10 6 +12.5
S. Uijtendaal 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -4.6
C. Kirkland 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson 33 9-14 2-4 5-6 5 7 2 0 1 25 24 +11.8
R. Bello 32 7-13 2-3 1-3 5 4 0 1 2 17 12 +6.6
Q. Morton-Robertson 31 4-9 3-6 1-1 3 2 1 0 2 12 7 +3.2
C. Cuthrell 30 8-17 1-4 2-3 8 1 2 0 2 19 11 +12.7
C. Hadnot II 29 0-2 0-1 1-3 1 1 3 1 0 1 5 +9.4
M. Nelson 25 2-6 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 6 8 -0.5
D. Elisee 13 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 +12.5
T. Lewis 7 2-2 1-1 0-1 1 2 1 1 0 5 8 +4.4

* = starter