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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Wright State Raiders Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.1% 80.9% -
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 23.2% 76.8% -
Efficiency 24.7% 75.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Wright State Raiders +23 (74-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 34 3-9 1-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 7 1 -22.7
P. Ruedinger 32 2-8 1-2 3-4 3 0 3 0 4 8 2 -20.8
J. Johnson 31 6-10 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 14 9 -25.7
M. Wrecke 20 2-4 0-1 1-2 7 0 1 0 3 5 6 -9.8
F. Wonders 20 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 5 -23.9
B. Tweedy 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 +1.0
R. Wade 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +3.1
R. Oselka 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 1 2 -3.1
D. Santoro 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -2.0
C.J. O'Hara 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.9

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Woods 33 6-9 2-2 0-0 5 5 2 0 1 14 16 +22.7
A. Huibregtse 31 2-9 1-7 0-0 3 5 0 0 0 5 4 +22.7
B. Noel 26 7-12 2-4 4-5 5 2 0 0 2 20 13 +16.8
J. Doumbia 25 4-8 2-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 4 11 6 +10.6
S. Callaghan 24 1-6 0-2 2-3 1 2 0 0 3 4 -2 +12.5
A. Holden 22 5-6 0-0 1-2 7 0 3 2 1 11 16 +7.8
A. Welage 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 3 2 +6.9
M. Imariagbe 19 3-6 0-0 0-0 12 1 1 0 0 6 14 +12.8

* = starter