Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy | 36 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 8 | +4.5 |
| Nate Johnson | 33 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Legend Geeter | 27 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Emmanuel Kuac | 24 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | -8.1 |
| Grant Gondrezick II | 23 | 2-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Miles Mitchell | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Peter Fuchs Jr. | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Okoro | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.8 |
| TJ Nadeau | 10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1.5 |
| Chase Kuiper | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +9.7 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Galette | 32 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +8.0 |
| Ty Harper | 31 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +0.5 |
| Gabe Dynes | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Juwan Maxey | 25 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +16.6 |
| Jason Nelson | 25 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -10.5 |
| E.J. Farmer | 23 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Cris Carroll | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -1.3 |
| Siem Uijtendaal | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +8.4 |
| David Wilkerson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Christian Kirkland | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter