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2024-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Youngstown State Penguins Wright State Raiders Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% -
Bradley-Terry 59.9% 40.1% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Wright State Raiders -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Youngstown State Penguins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Galette 34 3-9 1-5 2-2 8 7 0 0 1 9 14 +4.3
E.J. Farmer 31 2-8 0-4 3-3 5 1 1 0 1 7 5 +6.5
J. Nelson 30 5-10 2-5 3-4 1 4 1 0 1 15 10 +2.5
Ty Harper 26 5-8 3-6 3-4 2 1 1 0 1 16 11 +1.4
G. Dynes 23 5-8 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 10 8 -5.4
J. Maxey 22 2-8 1-5 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 -1 +10.6
C. Carroll 13 4-7 2-2 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 10 7 +5.3
S. Uijtendaal 12 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -2.2
C. Kirkland 9 1-2 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 1 1 4 6 -

Wright State Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Huibregtse 36 6-10 3-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 15 7 -3.5
L. Woods 35 3-7 2-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 8 6 -5.7
B. Noel 32 4-11 2-4 0-0 10 3 1 0 2 10 11 -0.7
K. Norris 31 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 7 5 +5.5
J. Doumbia 27 6-14 0-1 5-9 10 2 1 3 3 17 16 -2.6
S. Callaghan 17 3-5 2-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 9 4 -11.0
D. Carter 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 4 5 +2.2
M. Imariagbe 6 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.7
A. Welage 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter