Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Wright State Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wright State Raiders -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Galette | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +4.3 |
| E.J. Farmer | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +6.5 |
| J. Nelson | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +2.5 |
| Ty Harper | 26 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +1.4 |
| G. Dynes | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -5.4 |
| J. Maxey | 22 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | +10.6 |
| C. Carroll | 13 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +5.3 |
| S. Uijtendaal | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.2 |
| C. Kirkland | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 36 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | -3.5 |
| L. Woods | 35 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -5.7 |
| B. Noel | 32 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -0.7 |
| K. Norris | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +5.5 |
| J. Doumbia | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | -2.6 |
| S. Callaghan | 17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -11.0 |
| D. Carter | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +2.2 |
| M. Imariagbe | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.7 |
| A. Welage | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter