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2024-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 77.3% 22.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.9% 30.1% -
Margin 85.4% 14.6% -9.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 76.4% 23.6% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.0% 11.0% -
Log Adjusted 89.0% 11.0% -
Points Off/Def 69.5% 30.5% -

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bello 33 6-12 1-4 4-4 1 4 0 0 1 17 9 -1.8
J. Jackson 32 6-8 1-1 4-7 5 4 2 0 2 17 18 -2.8
Q. Morton-Robertson 31 3-11 1-8 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 7 0 -1.5
M. Nelson 30 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 9 7 -3.6
C. Hadnot II 23 4-8 0-3 2-4 2 3 1 0 0 10 8 +5.7
E. Mulder 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 5 -3.6
D. Elisee 16 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 7 -13.8
C. Cuthrell 12 1-5 0-3 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 5 4 +3.2
T. Lewis 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.1
C. Morgan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Lovejoy 37 8-15 0-1 2-2 4 9 1 0 5 18 12 +4.3
L. Geeter 36 9-12 3-4 1-2 9 2 1 0 2 22 20 +4.3
G. Gondrezick II 34 4-10 2-4 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 11 6 +8.8
N. Johnson 29 1-3 1-2 3-4 4 0 0 0 0 6 7 +6.1
T. Nadeau 23 3-8 3-6 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 9 7 +6.4
E. Kuac 19 4-9 2-6 1-1 5 1 0 1 1 11 8 -2.1
M. Mitchell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 +0.3
R. Hurst 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.9
P. Fuchs Jr. 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Okoro 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -3.9
R. Kalambay 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter