Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.5% | 5.5% | -15.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.1% | 4.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -11 (57-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hayden Gray | 37 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +8.0 |
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones | 35 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | +15.6 |
| Tyler McGhie | 32 | 5-15 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | -9.6 |
| Nordin Kapic | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +13.6 |
| Chris Howell | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Justin Rochelin | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4.8 |
| Aidan Burke | 11 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +9.2 |
| Maximo Milovich | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -8.3 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Cooper | 37 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | +3.7 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 35 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Pablo Tamba | 35 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 17 | -11.6 |
| Ty Johnson | 32 | 2-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5 | -4.6 |
| Connor Sevilla | 30 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -0.1 |
| Niko Rocak | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.8 |
| Sione Lose | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.6 |
* = starter