Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.0% | 24.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -16 (49-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Johnson | 35 | 8-20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | +13.3 |
| Leo DeBruhl | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | +16.0 |
| Connor Sevilla | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +2.4 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +9.7 |
| Niko Rocak | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +18.2 |
| Nils Cooper | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +15.5 |
| Pablo Tamba | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3.7 |
| Isaiah Chappell | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jac Mani | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Derek Sangster | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
| Sione Lose | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -0.0 |
| Jamaal Unuakhalu | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoLo Rudolph | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -11.3 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kaleb Brown | 30 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 8 | -14.2 |
| Kobe Young | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Antwan Robinson | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -11.3 |
| Keith Richard | 24 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Zach Visentin | 16 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -11.6 |
| Donovan Oday | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -10.8 |
* = starter