Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +18 (80-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder | 33 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -6.2 |
| Isaac Jessup | 30 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Peter Bandelj | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -9.3 |
| Mac Riniker | 29 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Owen Koonce | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -4.4 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 18 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Guzman Vasilic | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -10.2 |
| Cayden Ward | 13 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | +0.9 |
| Isaac Spears | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hayden Jory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ethan Menzies | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 27 | 8-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | +14.4 |
| Nate Pickens | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Isaiah Moses | 26 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Kaleb Smith | 25 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| Niyi Olabode | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Joel Armotrading | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Parker Strauss | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +9.2 |
| Rikus Schulte | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +4.3 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Gavin Davis | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Luke Turner | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Jayden Mojica | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter