Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters +30 (101-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Hyder | 30 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -14.9 |
| Owen Koonce | 27 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 | -16.1 |
| Mac Riniker | 25 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Isaac Jessup | 25 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -13.8 |
| Ethan Menzies | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -17.4 |
| Peter Bandelj | 19 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -19.4 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -7.5 |
| Cayden Ward | 15 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | -0.8 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Luka Tarlac | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | -7.9 |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Che | 27 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +10.4 |
| B. Akin | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +24.4 |
| Devin Tillis | 23 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | +10.6 |
| Bent Leuchten | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | +23.6 |
| Torian Lee | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +4.5 |
| Jurian Dixon | 19 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | +12.1 |
| Justin Hohn | 19 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +13.1 |
| Kyle Evans | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.3 |
| Ofure Ujadughele | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +10.4 |
| Ben Egbo | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
| Elijah Chol | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tishan Ahir | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter